Yearly Archives: 2014

The Record for Apathy

My final prediction for voter turnout in California’s 2014 mid-term elections is 45 percent to 47 percent, a record for apathy. The previous low of 51 percent, set in 2002, will be eclipsed due to a top of the ticket race that provoked more yawns than votes. Read more

Categories: Voters

Voters Now Shifting into Gear

Well how do you like that? No sooner do I post dire voter turnout projections for the state than California’s voters start trying to prove me wrong.  In the days since my initial prediction, participation in the 2014 election has surged. What had looked like a dip in turnout was only a lull in the action. At this point, I’m still predicting a record low. The lowest participation rate for a gubernatorial general election was 51% in 2002. I now calculate that only 47% to 50% of the state’s registered voters will cast a ballot. There is a chance that a record won’t be set. I’ll update my turnout projection with a final percentage on Monday.         … Read more

Categories: In The News| Voters

Failure to Engage, Act 2

OK, voter turnout in the June Primary election was bad; well, “terrible” is a more apt description.  In the great state of California a measly 25 percent of voters did their civic duty. And, as the dourer among us have pointed out, that’s just among those registered to vote. Looking at the entire population of adults provides a more accurate gauge of civic engagement.  Of course that picture is even uglier, as only 18 percent of those eligible to vote did so.  But let’s not obsess about the past, because there is so much more to obsess about in the immediate future. As I’ve stated in previous blog posts, past tends to be prologue in electoral politics. Turnout in California’s … Read more

Categories: Polls| Voters

Lessons in Life and Polling from Eric Cantor

Don’t cry for Eric Cantor. The former House Majority Leader who suffered a “surprising” June Primary defeat at the hands of upstart Dave Brat in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District has landed on his feet. Cantor is the latest member of Congress to benefit from his experience on Capitol Hill, joining the Wall Street investment bank Moelis & Co. as vice chairman and managing director. He’s also getting a pay increase, from his $174,000 Congressional salary to $1.2 million guaranteed his first year, topped off by a tidy little $3.4 million bonus in cash and stocks. That buys a lot of monogrammed handkerchiefs to dry the non-existent tears with. So the age-old lesson that every dark cloud has a silver lining … Read more

Categories: Uncategorized

CERC Anniversary

What were you doing 27 years ago on Tuesday, September 1, 1987? Read more

Categories: Competitive Edge News

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