Category Archives: Polls

Some Thoughts on Turnout and Other Thoughts on the Governor’s Race

Many observers have marveled at the weird turns the campaigns for Governor have taken during the Primary season. Democrat Gavin Newsom has been campaigning hard for Republican John Cox. Democrat Antonio Villaraigosa and his allies have been campaigning for Republican Travis Allen. Read more

Categories: Campaigns| Polls

The Rising Cost of Public Opinion Polling

The cost of conducting quality public opinion research has risen over the past decade. Note that lousy polling has remained fairly cheap. Two primary trends account for it: the American public’s growing tendency to no longer answer unsolicited phone calls, and the switch from landlines to cell phones. In the face of these trends, Competitive Edge is working to control costs while continuing to innovate for quality. Read more

Categories: Campaigns| Polls

What Happened with the Polls in Virginia?

“The polls were wildly off in the Virginia election.” That’s how one Vox article put it after Democrat Ralph Northam beat his opponent by 8.9 percent on the first Tuesday in November. Read more

Categories: Campaigns| GOP| Polls| Trump

The Trump Effect: Trust in Polling

Just after election night, San Diego County District 3 watchers asked me how much of a chance Kristin Gaspar had of overcoming her then 1.7% deficit. I called it “unlikely, but not a longshot.” Read more

Categories: Campaigns| GOP| Polls| Trump

During Election Season, Journalists And Pollsters Need to Spend More Time on This

“Why do different pollsters come up with different results when asking the same question, such as who’s going to win the 2016 presidential campaign?” I’ve been asked versions of this question a lot. Read more

Categories: Polls

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