The Edge: Competitive Edge Blog

The Edgy Interview: Kevin Faulconer

I’m ultra-proud of my friend Kevin Faulconer who became the 38th Mayor of San Diego after winning hard-fought special elections in 2013 and 2014 and then winning re-election in June, 2016. Prior to that he served as City Councilman and before that worked for Porter Novelli, a San Diego public relations firm. “Shortly” after I earned my BA at SDSU, Kevin was elected student body President, so we’re both proud Aztecs. Leading the state’s 2nd largest city (and the nation’s 8th largest) is not an easy job, but Kevin’s experience is a big advantage. He is termed out of office (boo) in 2020. I didn’t ask Kevin about his future plans, but I’m sure he’ll make the right decision for … Read more

Categories: Competitive Edge News

The Trump Effect: Trust in Polling

Just after election night, San Diego County District 3 watchers asked me how much of a chance Kristin Gaspar had of overcoming her then 1.7% deficit. I called it “unlikely, but not a longshot.” Read more

Categories: Campaigns| GOP| Polls| Trump

Kristin Gaspar’s Razor-thin Win, Blow-by-Blow

Just after election night, San Diego County District 3 watchers asked me how much of a chance Kristin Gaspar had of overcoming her then 1.7% deficit. I called it “unlikely, but not a longshot.” Read more

Categories: Campaigns| San Diego

CERC’s Final Voter Turnout Prediction

The 2016 Presidential election has induced much gnashing of teeth among voters. It seems like there has been an unprecedented amount of attention paid to election-related stress relief. Read more

Categories: San Diego| Voters

Voter Turnout: Donald and Hillary, you’re not quite John and Barack

Despite the two most odious major party candidates for President in our nation’s 240-year history, and despite a California ballot longer than should be allowed by law, if not by common sense, my current turnout prediction for 2016’s presidential election isn’t as dire as you might expect. Barack Obama’s 2008 wave generated a voter turnout of 83.5 percent countywide, according to the San Diego County Registrar of Voters (1,242,907 of 1,488,157 registered voters). 77.0 percent managed to get to the polls for the less thrilling race between the now-incumbent President Obama and Mitt Romney (1,203,265 of 1,563,093 registered voters). My prediction as of November 2, 2016 is for voter turnout to reach about 80 percent for San Diego County. This … Read more

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