Research

Results of 2018 Pre-Primary California Gubernatorial Poll

Results of 2018 Pre-Primary California Gubernatorial Poll

ChartLieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom will almost certainly move on to November’s general election. Other polls have shown the Democrat and former San Francisco Mayor safely in the top two and this Competitive Edge poll reinforces that. This poll also indicates Newsom will likely face Republican businessman John Cox in the run-off, as both enjoy relatively firm support. Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and Republican Assemblyman Travis Allen are locked in a tight battle for third place. Despite 2018 being heralded by some as a “Year of the Woman,” the race’s only prominent female, Delaine Eastin, trails with weak support along with State Treasurer John Chiang. Thirteen percent of likely voters remain undecided, giving second tier candidates some hope of narrowing the gap in the campaign’s final two weeks. However, the strength of the two leading candidates’ support makes catching them a longshot.

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