Political Polling & Analysis

We’re familiar with the phrase “garbage in, garbage out. ” Frankly, we see a fair amount of it in our industry. As polling professionals, we do everything in our power to ensure clients receive the most accurate results possible. This is especially true for our political poll analysis; we understand clients are relying on our accuracy to provide them with data they can confidently act upon.

Our Process

We follow a rigorous process that starts with the critical step of identifying the goal or research objective—the clients’ desired end state. We continue by:

  • Developing custom survey questionnaires, an iterative process done with client input, based on our 25+ years of survey design experience (We know all the tricks and traps to avoid.)
  • Fielding the survey, employing our passionate, well-trained interviewing team to collect the data (always live; no robots)
  • Tabulating our results, properly weighting the variables
  • Quickly reporting topline percentages—turnaround that’s invaluable to time-sensitive clients
  • Discussing and reviewing the preliminary findings with clients
  • Fully analyzing the data through the expert use of robust statistical techniques
  • Preparing an in-depth report and explaining it to clients in a detailed presentation

Because this customized process has been thoroughly tested over more than a quarter century, we know we’ll get the information we need—giving our clients a winning edge. And, to demonstrate our desire to be a team player, we offer post-survey consultations free of charge.

Cutting-Edge Analysis

Competitive Edge’s analytic abilities blow away clients because our experts can provide the appropriate statistical technique for any project. We’re proficient in many forms of regression analysis such as multiple linear, logistic, multinomial logistic and ordinal (PLUM). Regression is able to tell us the “why” behind public opinion.

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We use a method called chi-square automatic interaction detection (CHAID) to conduct market segmentation, which is frequently part of our reports. We conduct split-sample tests during many of our studies to experimentally verify the effect of wording or other factors. We realize all the statistics in the world are meaningless unless someone with proper training and experience analyzes them. We also know it’s equally important to communicate the analysis to clients in a compelling way, so our presentations are comprehensive, understandable and actionable.

MPower is our Proprietary Message-testing System

Competitive Edge has developed proprietary techniques to measure the true persuasive power of messages, endorsements, promotions, biographical sketches, legislative provisions and reforms. This patent-pending method, called MPower™, works off the premise that clients trying to move the needle are only concerned about those who are persuadable. Voters, consumers, constituents, and potential customers who are solidly in our client’s camp and those who are solidly in a competitor’s camp aren’t persuadable. At best it’s unproductive to develop messages that speak to them; at worst it’s harmful. We therefore analyze the results of respondents who changed their minds during a test-retest survey module. MPower then calculates a score for each communication element so we can identify powerhouse, persuasive, unpersuasive, and harmful messaging.

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MPower scores run from -100 to +200. Strongly persuadable “trump card” messages score above 130, while useful messages score typically score between 75 and 130. Scores of zero to 75 show the message is not persuasive and needs improvement, while negative scores indicate the message will backfire.

Polling & Analysis Clients Include:

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Case Studies

We’re proud of our long history of success and our “mile-long” list of satisfied clients.

Winning an Election in Seven Steps

Target and engage your swing voters with our seven step research guide.

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